For several cancers, delays between diagnosis and initiation of treatment has important clinical implications, often affecting trial eligibility, treatment intention, and oncologic outcomes. The coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) pandemic placed an extraordinary strain on the United States healthcare system, and its effect on oncologic patterns of care has yet to be established. We hypothesize that patients who received a new cancer diagnosis and subsequently tested positive for COVID-19 had delayed oncologic treatment compared to those who did not test positive for COVID-19.
The National Cancer Database (NCDB) was queried to identify patients who were diagnosed and treated for any of 10 common malignancies from 2019-2020. Included disease sites were head and neck, esophagus, rectum, anus, lung, breast, cervix, uterus, prostate, and primary brain. Those who tested positive for COVID-19 between time of diagnosis and first oncologic treatment (including surgery, radiation, or systemic therapy) were compared to those who did not test positive for COVID-19. COVID-19 positivity was assessed using a new variable in the NCDB, "SARSCOV2_POS," which captures whether patients received a positive COVID-19 test via reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction testing in inpatient, outpatient, or emergency room settings in 2020. Duration in days from cancer diagnosis to time to first treatment (TTFT) was analyzed using two-sample t-tests, with significance level of p<0.05.
A total of 1,503,127 patients were identified for analysis. Of these, 7,340 (0.5%) tested positive for COVID-19 between diagnosis and start of treatment. Initial treatment was most commonly surgery (55.3%), followed by systemic therapy (17.4%) and radiation (12.7%). Overall, median TTFT was 55 days [interquartile range (IQR) 31-91] for the COVID-19 group versus 34 days (IQR 15-56) for the non-COVID-19 group (p <0.01). Subgroup analysis of the 10 individual sites of disease revealed statistically significant delays in each, with greatest absolute difference in median TTFT in prostate (31.5 days; 95.5 versus 64.0) and greatest relative difference in brain (>700%, 28.5 versus 4.0).
In the first year of the pandemic, patients who tested positive for COVID-19 between oncologic diagnosis and initial management experienced significant delays in initiation of cancer-directed therapy compared to those who did not test positive for COVID-19, with median increase in TTFT of 21 days. Additional follow-up is needed to evaluate the clinical impact of these delays, as well as change in patterns of care in later years of the pandemic.